Forecast with Nimiq micro-credits · No cash value
Live intelligence
The world is uncertain.
Price what happens next.
Polytico is a public forecasting market for news, politics, technology, and the forces shaping tomorrow.
News feed
AI-assisted briefingsREUTERS12 min ago
Markets weigh fresh signals from the Federal Reserve ahead of the next meeting.
Will the Fed cut rates before July?
AP NEWS38 min ago
Negotiators return to the table as pressure builds for a durable ceasefire.
Will a ceasefire hold in Ukraine through 2026?
THE VERGE1 hr ago
Apple expands its AI team and hints at a new product category.
Will Apple announce a new AI device this year?
Position using NIM · No cash value
Politics·$2.4M volume
Will the U.S. government shut down in 2026?
World·$1.8M volume
Will a ceasefire hold in Ukraine through 2026?
Economy·$928K volume
Will the Fed cut rates before July?
Technology·$612K volume
Will Apple announce a new AI device this year?
Culture·$349K volume
Will the next major film cross $1B globally?
Follow the signal
See how collective conviction changes as new information arrives.
How it works
Markets use Nimiq micro-credits to make forecasting transparent and accessible.
24/7
Always current
News and probabilities live side by side, with sources clearly labeled.